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Otter on 06 November 2024
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BraLoD said:
LegitHyperbole said:

I think Atrobot will beat EoW even LT sales. Astrobot is going to have insane legs as more people upgrade but that's not counting on wheter it gets a PS+ release and it likely may well do so. IPS+ Catalogue additions nmlike Rift apart, Demon souls and returnal, The Last of us pt1 and so on give me the impression that Astro will follow suit after a year or two when sales dwindle, seems like a game they'd do that for.

Honestly don't see how Astro Bot will end up outselling EoW, it's likely losing already, and unless there is some kind of resurgence for the game down the road, which I can't really see, the only other factor would be Switch 2 suddenly taking over completely the attention from the Switch from the get go and people start ignoring the game, which don't seem too likely either.

So aside from Astro getting a good PS5/Pro bundle, I doubt that race will even end up being close.

Astro still has a generation ahead of it of being the premiere PlayStation platformer. If EOW performs similarly to the past isometric zelda which sold 3.1m in 1month, and then another 2m for the rest of its life, its legs will not be extended much beyond this year. With or without Switch 2, it's fair to perceive that next year its sales will off whereas Astro has the potential to have much longer legs. 

If we take the UK for example, on the retail charts Astro (which disproportionately digital) has moved from No.12-No.15 in the last 3 weeks (-2 spots). Zelda has moved from No.6-No.11 (-5spots). Astro is showing more stability and is probably coming close to tying it for the week in total sales when accounting for digital. If much of Europe/US reflects this, that is the logic by which Astro wins the long game even with Japan deeply in Zelda's favour.