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Slownenberg on 05 November 2024
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killer7 said:
killer7 said:

I do not think the Switch will die "as soon as the Switch Up arrives". The DS stayed till 2015 after the 3DS came out despite being backwards compatible. By that logic the PS2 should have died out right after the PS3 launch as well. Tge Switch lite will be a lot cheaper than the Switch Up. I really think you underestimate the current Switch. Nintendo promised a 10 years lifespan, a lifespan longer than previous Nintendo systems. Its like when i say "The PS5 will die when the PS6 comes out!" After Sony already said the PS5 completed its first half of its lifespan at the beginning of this year its even more likley. Especially after the fact PS4 was discontinued just a bit over a year after the PS5 launched. 

I am sorry to contradict you but everything points to first party support till 2026 at least. Metroid Prime 4 Beyond is confirmed as Switch game for 2025 and it won't launch before summer. Pokémon Z-A won't be here before autumn and i highly doubt there won't be at least some cross gen games. The gamecube was discontinued as late as 2008, 1,5 years after te Wii launched and that console was close of being a massive flopp. And if the GAMECUBE could stay for another 1,5 years, i don't see why Switch can't. Who guarantees you there won't be any price cuts?

Not at all the same situations. PS2 was insanely cheap compared to the PS3 and much much much more popular. DS was also much cheaper and the 3D feature of the 3DS that set it apart from the DS was a feature most people didn't even want. So no, your "by that logic" sentence is not at all the logic I'm stating.

"I am sorry to contradict you but everything points to first party support till 2026 at least."...literally nothing confirms this though haha. I have no idea what "everything" is when "everything" is literally nothing. What we do know is that a few games are coming out on Switch in the first half of next year. We know nothing about any games coming out past that. I'd venture to guess no first party games will be coming after that, unless they are very small games, or maybe some more ports that they'd release on both Switch and Switch 2, which will do nothing to continue new Switch hardware sales.

We don't know when Prime and Pokemon are coming out. You say these games won't launch before summer and autumn. We literally don't know that. You're just guessing. There is currently no reason to think they won't come out before next gen launches. We'll have to wait and see. I'd say they will at latest be cross-gen launches on the successor launch day.

In terms of Switch being a 10 year system, yeah they are still going to be probably shipping a few thousand Switch units a week in 2026 and 2027 = 10 years. And there will of course be third party stuff coming to the system. Nowhere am I saying it isn't a 10 year system.

Who guarantees there won't be any price cuts? Nobody. I think they absolutely need to cut the price! I think they should've already done it earlier this year. I hope they do! But so far there are no indications that they will, given that they never have after 7.5 years, and haven't even the past year as sales have slowed down drastically. Like I say in my prediction, my prediction is based on them not cutting the price. If they do cut the price I would expect them to pick up a couple million more hardware sales and get up to close to the PS2. Personally I think they should drop the Switch to something like $130/$230/$280, but given their complete lack of hardware and software price cuts this entire gen I don't expect them to drop the price, and if they don't the $300 and $350 model's sales are gonna immediately dry up when a presumably $400 next gen system launches. Only the Lite will be selling at that point if there's no price cuts of minimum $50.