Switch Ships 146.04 Million Units as of September 2024

[killer7]

Slownenberg said:

killer7 said:

It really depends how this quater goes. But i personally do not see less than 155 million LTD. If they horribly fail to meet their FC we would be looking at ~150,3 million by march 25. (9 million). For 2025 i see no less than 4 million putting the Switch barly over the DS' 154,02 million. And i do not see the Switch under 1 million for 2026/27. Discontinuation no earlier than march 2027.

We'll see! Granted they sold about 750k more units last quarter than I thought they would. I do fully believe sales are gonna pretty much immediately die when the successor comes out. With presumed backwards compatibility and presumed only $50 and $100 more expensive than the hybrid Switch models, there's just no reason to buy the Switch anymore except for people looking for a $200 budget Lite system.

The two hybrid models should fall to essentially zero the moment Switch 2 comes out, and Lite won't sell much either. But it's definitely possible, given that they just had a real strong quarter, that I may be underestimating what the sales from Oct - June (when I expect the successor to launch) will be, so that they might be a million or so ahead of where I think they'll be once sales drop to near zero. In that case I'd update my prediction from like 153.5-155.0 to more like 154.5-156.0.

In terms of actual sales, not shipped, I predict:

150-150.5 end of 2024

Q1 2025 1.5m: 151.5-152.0

Q2 2025