2024 US Presidential Election

[shavenferret]

Chrkeller said:

the-pi-guy said:

You've misread me on like every single point. 

I gave no judgment on the actual data and I didn't give a backhand jab. (edit: I guess you were talking about the "actual data" bit. I wasn't quite talking about you.) 

I pretty much just said bad data is misleading and good data can be misinterpreted, and mistakes can happen on industrial scales. Do you disagree with those statements?

I think you excel at jabs with selected verbiage so you can the victim later.  But cool, I was literally named in your post but sure, it wasn't directed at me.  I totally believe you.

That aside, I think many here are dismissive of data for no reason other than they don't like the trends.  

The only wild card I see is early voting.  Not sure if polls are capturing that demographic.

I hope I'm, wrong but it doesn't look good.

Edit

And frankly I trust betting firms who specialize in odds more than polls.  60% is a strong position.  But again, hopefully they are wrong.  

You prefer companies that have a financial interest? Individual polls aren't great either but I'd recommend a polling aggregator to average out the biases that polls inherently give.