Tober said:
The 1 reason that will make sure Swith2 is not going to sell as bad as Wii U, is because it's their only platform now. E.g. it gets Pokémon mainline games. Previous home consoles never got a Pokémon mainline game. This alone will have it at least sell double/triple the Wii U numbers. If the Switch2 will be able to reach the first gen numbers, I believe will depend on the market Nintendo calls "Other". I do not think it will reach the same heights in "traditional" markets like US, Europe and Japan. But if markets like China would open up more in the coming years, the ceiling would be raised substantially. |
Depends on what it is and how they market it. I just don't think people will buy a Switch 2 when they have a switch. If it's iterative then some people will upgrade and new people will buy in but can't see the majority buying a Switch U nor can I see people buying in masse unless it's something revolutionary. I'd say 3ds numbers would be a good parse, maybe add on 10 million for dedicated Nintendo Home console players. It's not getting anywhere close to the Switch is what I'm trying to say, The OP suggests the popularity will go up but I just want to point out that it's almost certainly going to decline and decline by quite a large margin.