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LegitHyperbole said:

There's a chance that the Switch 2 could be a Wii U situation. Perhaps not that bad but it's not out of the question. Could also ve a 3DS situation but lord knows it won't be an OG Switch situation.

The 1 reason that will make sure Swith2 is not going to sell as bad as Wii U, is because it's their only platform now. E.g. it gets Pokémon mainline games. Previous home consoles never got a Pokémon mainline game. This alone will have it at least sell double/triple the Wii U numbers.

If the Switch2 will be able to reach the first gen numbers, I believe will depend on the market Nintendo calls "Other". I do not think it will reach the same heights in "traditional" markets like US, Europe and Japan. But if markets like China would open up more in the coming years, the ceiling would be raised substantially.