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Excellent discussion idea/poll and it's a tough call.
Xbox One was discontinued so quickly (right as Series X/S launched) because of the economical price of the Series S and pandemic supply-chain shortages. At least I would imagine those are the reasons. Microsoft needed to go full steam ahead with Series, and what sense does it make to use parts for the One S and charge $200-$250 for it (it would surely get a permanent price cut) when Series S is $300?
We don't know what the price of Xbox 5 will be. Series X/S have yet to get permanent price cuts in the USA at least, and PS5/Xbox Series/Switch seem to have killed the concept of price cuts for hardware, at least by the midlife (more around the end of life right now with Switch). If the cheapest version of Xbox 5 is around $400, then it makes sense to keep Series S (or X if they can get it cheap enough) in stock for $300 or less for a year or more as a budget Xbox option. And we don't know when Xbox 5 will launch but it could be November 2026.
Even with Wii sales plummeting around the end of its life, the Wii Family Edition wasn't discontinued worldwide until 2014 and the Wii Mini survived until about early 2016, nearly ten years after the Wii launched and over 3 years after Wii U launched.
I see Switch surviving until January 2027, at least. It could even survive into 2028 or 2029. I think it's safe to say it will die out before 2030. We'll be well into the life of Switch 2 by then and I don't see a market for Switch anymore beyond software sales and of course second-hand hardware sales.
I'll give the longer lifespan to Switch. It is on track to become the best-selling video game console of all-time and it will likely continue to be relevant for a long time.

Xbox Series will be discontinued first. I know it's not the question, but PS5 is likely to last the longest. 



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 161 million (was 73 million, then 96 million, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million, then 156 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 48 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima