Famitsu Sales: Week 31, 2024 (Jul 29 - Aug 04)

[Norion]

firebush03 said:

Norion said:

The Switch is probably too high since its holiday sales aren't gonna be anything special and make it fall further behind than 2018 in the last stretch than that and the PS5 probably too low since from this point till the end of the year it sold close to 600k in 2022 despite stock issues but the final total for those won't be very different than that.

There’s always Dragon Quest…though if Mario Wonder wasn’t enough to send sales over 100k last holiday, it’s safe to say sales will sit comfortably between 75-95k/week in November and December.

Yeah that should give some boost the week it comes out but since it's a "2D" remake of a really old game and the Switch is over 30m the impact should be a lot lower compared to what DQ 12 will do for the PS5 and Switch 2 and won't change the overall pace of the last stretch to a notable degree.

DroidKnight said:

Norion said:

The PS5 is officially back to normal and its sales are so similar to last week it was only two off from being exactly the same. And there is a real possibility the Switch overtakes 2019 at week 34 and while it would fall behind forever right afterwards I did not think it would have a shot of doing that at any point.

The Switch is probably too high since its holiday sales aren't gonna be anything special and make it fall further behind than 2018 in the last stretch than that and the PS5 probably too low since from this point till the end of the year it sold close to 600k in 2022 despite stock issues but the final total for those won't be very different than that.

Estimating Xbox > 180,000, not sure on Switch, PS does seem too low.

Xbox Series is too all over the place for me to make any concrete predictions but somewhere between 100-200k should happen.

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Norion said:

The Switch is probably too high since its holiday sales aren't gonna be anything special and make it fall further behind than 2018 in the last stretch than that and the PS5 probably too low since from this point till the end of the year it sold close to 600k in 2022 despite stock issues but the final total for those won't be very different than that.

Last year's holidays were also very muted due to TotK release resulting in many sales being done long before the holidays, so it's quite possible the holiday sales won't be much lower than last years sales.

My prediction is 3M, but I wouldn't count out 3.2 as a possibility.

The thing is that even a bit lower than last year would put that high out of reach. 3m is the upper limit of what it can do this year I think since it'd have to be at like 2.7m by week 45 to finish 200k higher and its pace this year doesn't point to that happening.

Last edited by Norion - on 08 August 2024