Will Xbox Series X/S make it to 40 million?

[Wman1996]

Mr Puggsly said:

Yes.

50 million as well unless something is done by MS that prevents it.

I still think 40 million is pretty much a lock and still have my signature at 48 million right now.

Hitting 50 or especially reaching high 50s like the One is going to be tough.

Xbox needs price cuts and a big GTA VI boost to hit above 44-49 million. The current discounts from Microsoft and retailers don't seem to be helping in the long run. PS5 and even the Blue Ocean and outdated Switch are still clobbering Xbox Series globally and in most markets. 

If Microsoft actually keeps Series S and X (or one of them) in production when the Fifth Xbox launches, they can probably eek out a 2-4 million at least as a budget-friendly console. While Microsoft has been happy to sell subscriptions and software on Xbox One even in 2024 and beyond, they dropped the hardware right as Xbox Series launched. That's a clear contrast from Xbox 360 hardware not getting discontinued until 2016 but Xbox 360 was a more successful and a bigger contrast in hardware design and ecosystem compared to the One to Series transition.