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XtremeBG said:
With the way it's going now, the sales, I really doubt it. This year is more than 500k behind (at this point) to a XB1 year of just 4M (2020), so even 4M will be hard. With such a drop (almost 50% from the previous year) I don't know what Microsoft should and can do to get back on track to the previous sales speed of 8M per year or at least 5-6M so they can reach let's say 45 or even 50M lifetime. With the current speed, the 40M is very doubtful let alone more. It is already down to 50-60k per week WW since the start of April. Heck there is a chance the Switch in Japan this year can beat the WW sales of the XBSX or at least be very close. Put that into perspective. 8 years old console with only it's Japanese sales to be competitive to a 4 year old one with its WW numbers. At that point of the year XBSX is 1.5M by the start of June, by the start of July (200k more) it is around 1.7M. Switch is 1.45M by the first week of July. If XBSX continues to go lower weekly they will get even at some point. And not only that but even if we look at the WW sales of XBSX vs the Japanese of the Switch is also comparable, Switch is 33M now, it will probably finish at around 35-36M (some may say up to even 38) this is the same range XBSX can finish too. There is even a chance where XBSX couldn't reach the final Japan numbers for Switch Worldwide. What an anomaly. |
You're not taking into account that the Xbox One had a strong first half of the year in 2020 due to the pandemic but then fell off and didn't sell much during the holidays due to stock running out for it. The Xbox Series will easily catch up during the 2nd half of the year and won't have any trouble 4m or even 5m and should reach about 33m by the end of the year so it reaching 40m still isn't in any doubt yet. Unless the successor releases in 2026 45m isn't in any doubt yet either.
Last edited by Norion - on 17 July 2024
