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Norion said:
zeldaring said:

I think there is big difference with gta6 since this will is probably the first massive exclusive be to next-gen consoles only. If cod was exclusive to next-gen consoles 2-3 years ago I can guarantee that would have made a  big difference as well.

Well stock issues would've prevented that from making any difference but if that wasn't an issue back then then it would've caused a spike in sales sure. The thing is though is that happening early on in the generation doesn't go against my point since the first COD not on the PS4 and Xbox One isn't gonna impact sales that much since by then the vast majority of the COD console audience will already have bought a gen 9 console. 

JRPGfan said:

Red Dead Redemption 2 is a great game... but its not even in the same realm as a GTA is.
The differnce is GTA will move consoles, while RDR2 isn't enough to really have done so.
Atleast thats my take.... people wont buy a console for Red Dead Redemption, but will do so for GTA.

Again this is my european take here, but GTA is much much bigger here, than Red Dead Redemption.
I think RDR2 is more american focused, and probably does better there than in the RoW compairably.
This might lead people esp in the US, to think, one game or another, it doesnt matter, and RDR2 didn't move much consoles so GTA wont either.
I'm pretty sure, that won't be what happends with the new GTA release.

My point is that a game as big as RDR2 is plenty big enough to cause a spike in sales when released early on in a generation but when released late in the gen its immediate impact is heavily diminished. You're right that GTA is in its own league though so it'll still cause a big spike the month it comes out but I do think sales will return to normal after a few weeks since since by then the rush of people buying a console for GTA 6 will be over.

Also, I think there's a clear underestimating of how patient a good amount of players on PC aren't gonna cave in to play it immediately. 

Rockstar knows a large chunk of their audience are only PC players. I doubt the port there is gonna take more than a year or two if they wish to really make that revenue.

The PC release was 10M on launch day so Rockstar isn't gonna forego such a market for too long.



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