April Circana (NPD) 2024 Thread + Predictions

[Norion]

Shtinamin_ said:

It having a full blown Switch 2 version or not won't really change the impact much as long as it releases near its launch and is playable on it. With the rumours it would be surprising if it's any later than April and I doubt a full on price cut but temporary deals and bundles being pushed harder should happen yeah. I wonder if they'll cut the price of the OLED model or just discontinue it after the successor comes out cause rumours point to it being LCD so it would have a worse screen than that model if that's the case.

I think Legends Z-A will have an impact. Just about the same as Legends Arceus, or a bit more since Mega Evolution will return (the only gimmick that people loved). It should sell near 15M copies.

I cant see them dropping the one console that is the main reason why it's hardware numbers haven't dropped off the face of the Earth. I can see them dropping either the Lite or the V2, maybe even both since those are a small portion of their sales.

By impact I mean on Switch hardware sales. Less people will buy one for it if the successor is already out cause most people will just buy that instead. Nintendo will be fine with Switch hardware numbers dropping off big time after the successor launches though cause they'll want the install base of it to grow as quickly as possible and at that point software sales will be what matters for the original. The reason I can see them potentially discontinuing the OLED mode first is it wouldn't be ideal if one of the old models they're selling is better than the new one in a significant way that being the screen. Of course this won't matter if the successor has OLED from the get go and it would be nice if it does instead of making people wait a few years.