| haxxiy said: Nintendo is always revising their HW forecasts, so no reason to latch on to their 2024 prediction as market gospel or an indicative of their future strategy. |
I don’t think anybody is taking the forecast as gospel but forecasts are a good way to gauge what they have on the horizon.
Last fiscal year had two of their biggest franchises release in 3D Zelda & 2D Mario along with the Mario Movie having a Pokemon Go effect for Switch. On top of that, they had a steady supply of smaller support titles like Pikmin, Detective Pikachu, WarioWare, Mario RPG, Mario vs DK & Princess Peach.
As of now the only titles confirmed for this fiscal year are Endless Ocean, Paper Mario & Luigi’s Mansion, all releasing in Q1. Nintendo wouldn’t be expecting a small drop for hardware/software if the biggest titles were GC & 3DS remasters.
Even if they miss their forecast by a good amount and only ship 10-11 million, they clearly have something relatively big planned for later in the fiscal year. Whether that’s new releases in major franchises, hardware revision, price cut or a combo of them remains to be seen but there is definitely going to be something notable.
When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.
