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Soundwave on 23 May 2024
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zeldaring said:
Soundwave said:

Nintendo doesn't rely on "hype" to sell their games or hardware generally anyway so "hype" means nothing. Switch 2 will likely already have been out for several months before anyway.

The PS5 already having sold a big chunk of software mitigates how big of a sales surge any game can have, we don't generally see massive hardware boosts for boost for hardware in the 2nd half of its life, that's because the system already has sold a lot of its units already and you're really just selling a big chunk of any game's sales at that point to existing owners. 

I wouldn't necessarily bet the farm on GTAVI making it's fall 2025 release date either, they did not sound 100% convinced of it making that date at their most recent investor briefing and there are lot of reports that it could slip into 2026 entirely. 

I doubt that ps5 is mainly selling on power and 60fps, it hardly has any exclusives moving the needle, the only one is spiderman 2. GTAV sold 200 million units GTA6 the most viewed game trailer  by  6x this is gonna something we have never seen before in the game industry.

It doesn't affect Nintendo either way, but it's not like GTAIV was some "small release". GTA3 was the biggest game of the PS2 generation already, so IV was a massive release too.

The only software I've ever seen that substantially changed a system's sales trajectory after it had already sold 60 million units was Pokemon in the late 90s/early 2000s for the Game Boy. 

By and large once you're past 60 mill as a platform, you're basically just selling to your naturally evolving buyer base, but it's not like there's 1 magic game that comes at that point and radically alters the platform. 

Many of the people buying GTA6 on day 1 have their PS5 or XBox already. The "casual" part of the GTA fan base, as in the people who are willing to buy it because it's $10 ... those people aren't gonna be there day 1 or month 1 or probably not even year 1. I bought GTAV for $10 on a whim during a Steam sale, no chance would I pay $70 for 6. I wouldn't even pay half that. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 23 May 2024