zeldaring said:
Soundwave said:
XBox I don't even think has much of a future in the hardware business. With no serious competitor in the stationary business I don't think there's much pressure on Sony to have to take hardware losses any more so they will probably go with something of a more modest upgrade for PS6 which has a fatter profit margin for them day 1. Honestly though even PS5 wasn't that great of an upgrade over PS4 to begin with. Why even bother taking a hardware loss to begin with when you have no direct competitor.
The bottom line is it's all well and good to have hardware that requires $300-$500+ million to be spent and 7-9 years per game in development time to push performance and have the kind of scale traditional big budget games have, but how many studios can even afford to make those games.
GTAVI started development in 2014, it's not even ready to release 10 years later. Now ask yourself about games that are going to aim to have 2-3x greater visual complexity and some decent level of scale to top GTA VI ($500 million budget for the game itself too) ... like it becomes almost silly to think what that game would have to be to dramatically outpace GTA VI. $1 billion budget just for the game itself? Another 10+ year dev cycle? Who wants to finance that?
You're not even going to see traditional console transitions anymore the way it used to be, cross-gen period is already 3-4 years now, that will become even longer to the point where generations don't even feel distinct at all because developers are already drowning trying to make games for existing hardware.
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And what is Nintendo gonna do after switch 2? Well there even be a need for switch 3 since they are not gonna be pushing graphics?
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Who knows, but I think we are reaching the point where budgets and dev times supercede the hardware.
Not even developers like Capcom can afford to make $300+ million the norm for every new game, so how are they eventually even supposed to top like GTAVI even 7-8 years down the line. It doesn't work.
Nintendo I think is going to have an interesting future because I think the movie business is going to go extremely well for them and things like Mario CG movie sequels and the Zelda movie and probably eventually a Smash Bros. CG movie will put some pressure on them to keep having better graphics that more stay in line with the movie versions of their characters.
Other regular 3rd parties though ... I think many of them (you can put Square-Enix in this category) are fucked. They can't afford those kinds of budgets with the limited audiences they have.
