| LurkerJ said: https://youtu.be/ONsSsdDNRxI?si=E8TfszdDMzDQpkvL Thoughts? |
Pessimistic. The polls have been concerning but Dems have consistently outperformed them every year since Trump was elected and this year has continued that trend thus far. I also think it's downright silly that he calls Dems the more divided party over Gaza when the GOP led House is in absolute shambles and hundreds of thousands of conservative voters are writing in candidates that dropped out months ago (ie Nikki Haley). Regardless of approval ratings, a significantly higher percentage of Dems are voting for Biden at the end of the day than Reps for Trump. That disparity will only increase if the economy holds steady, Trump actually does get convicted of something, and/or hostilities cool off in the Middle East in time for the election.
Trump absolutely, depressingly still has a very real chance of getting reelected this year, but I'd still say the odds are in Biden's favor so long as the universe doesn't decide to fuck things up at the last minute. If Trump is reelected, I will officially have given up on this country and begin making earnest plans to emigrate.
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