Could the Switch surpass the PS2 in sales?

[Bofferbrauer2]

Shtinamin_ said:

Tober said:

Honestly I think that after the successor drops it's likely that some gen1 Switch models will go away.

There are already 7 standard SKU's (Stock keeping units) of the Switch family:

- Switch Lite 3 different colors.

- Switch 2 different colors

- Switch Oled 2 different colors.

I don't think they keep them all around if the Switch2 comes ( with possibly 2 color variations also). It's logistically not great for retailers.

Possibly they reduce the number of color variations and keep the 3 models. Or they drop 1 model altogether. I assume they stick with the Switch Lite, so then the OG or OLED would need to go. With the Switch2 rumoured to have a LCD screen offered for $400, I could see them drop the OLED. In that way there would still be a natural price difference of $100 - $200 with the Switch2.

Not saying I'm hoping for this, I prefer a pricedrop.

I agree that some Switch models will go away.

Honestly, I forgot about the SKU's.

When we look at the sales of the console over the last 2 years.
April 2022-Dec 31 2023

• OLED: 17.39M sold
• Switch V2: 9.54M sold
• Lite: 4.8M sold

Looks to me that the Lite and the Switch V2 are not selling as well and showing great declines each year, while the OLED is continuing to ramp up selling (in comparison to the other Switch models). I think that the Switch V2 will be dropped really quickly as soon as the successor launches. And the Lite will drop an SKU (obviously the least sold SKU, whichever that is). This is will allow them to drop the price of the OLED to a more Switch V2 price. The Lite will still sell due to being a very cheap and very affordable entrance option.

The OLED is carrying Switch sales. Dropping the OLED will be the quickest way to "kill" the console.

I think we when the successor launches (sticking with the $399.99 and $449.99 rumor prices) there will be

• 2 Lite SKU's (Blue & Gray)
• 2 OLED SKU's (White & Black)
• 2 Successor SKU's ($400 & $450)

Then after a year of the successor's launch they'll drop the Lite SKU's. And add more successor SKU's, most likely color variations, and more promos.
After 2 years of the successor's launch they'll drop the OLED SKU's. And bring a small successor, and later announce an XL successor. (Who knows).

My point being is that Nintendo won't stop producing OLED models for a while as they are the best Switch seller of the 3 models.

My expectation is that the Lite will be reduced to 1 color (and a small $20 price cut), the LCD model will run out of production in fall to make space for the new Switch 2 and the OLED will drop in price to match the old base model in return.