The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[Norion]

burninmylight said:

Norion said:

1: Yes there is truly nothing to back up the claims that an appealing and hyped product will sell faster launching near Christmas instead of in Spring and that Nintendo would have a much stronger holiday season this year with the Switch 2 selling then instead of just the declining Switch. Are you kidding me?

2: Yeah I wasn't talking about a hypothetical there but did with the Switch in response to someone saying spring was a better launch window. It's pretty funny you're acting like there's a contradiction here when there obviously isn't.

3: This is just blatantly wrong, of course it makes a difference when it launches since it would have a few month head start to build up an install base. The weak quarter part is obvious, the Switch will heavily decline this year so it'll be their worst holiday season since 2016. Now if the reason for the rumoured delay is something entirely out of their control then it isn't a blunder but if it's due to mismanagement for example not having software ready in time then it is.

If BOTW wasn't ready by late 2016 then waiting till March for the Switch was the right move in the end since it let them have a fantastic first year which after the failure of the Wii U and disappointing performance of the 3DS in part due it having a rough start they needed to make absolutely certain the Switch had a really strong start.

1. Still waiting for you to explain how something sells faster than it would have otherwise despite it completely selling out right when it launches regardless, and it stays that way for an unprecedented period of time. You're just going to keep conveniently ignoring that.

2. You weren't until you were, then you weren't, then you were. I already quoted the contradictions, so if you want to keep digging that hole instead of answering valid questions you go ahead. You went from the "I was just saying 'what if?'" fallacy to the "I don't have to explain anything, isn't it obvious?" fallacy.

3. And you just proved it. Not any of your claims, but your contradictions. Last post, you said you didn't want the Switch 2 to have a weak quarter when it launches, presumably because selling out in Spring is worse than selling out in Autumn, and were still on the "I'm just saying if everything aligned perfectly for Switch in 2016, they should have launched it then" kick. You said that you were just talking about a hypothetical "What if?" scenario that wasn't meant to be taken seriously.

Now you're talking about the Switch 1 having a weak quarter this year based on historical sales trends and natural console decline. So you keep jumping from make-believe that you say not to take seriously to talking about sales history and conjecture for the Switch 2.

Cause the sooner something comes out the sooner manufacturing begins for it. If it comes out in November it'll obviously have a higher install base by April compared to it coming out March next year and unless there's major stock issues it'll sell better November-December compared to its first months being March-April due to things like Christmas demand. I didn't expect I'd have to explain something this basic but there ya go.

For the rest of your reply you seem strangely incapable of understanding the difference between me saying how I feel about the Switch 2 launching early next year instead of late this year and me bringing up a hypothetical to illustrate a point in response to someone saying Spring is a better launch window.

Last edited by Norion - on 25 February 2024