The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[RolStoppable]

Shtinamin_ said:

Norion said:

You're taking a hypothetical far too seriously. If Nintendo had enough software and Switch stock ready by late 2016 it launching then instead of early March would've been better. That didn't turn out to be feasible for them but it would've been better if it did. This seems like a clear fact so I'm not sure what you're arguing against exactly. 

No, how do you take hypotheticals too seriously?
burninmylight has a point. So how are you gonna explain "why having an earlier launch would have increased the availability of stock."

We can be reasonable people and have conversations even interesting conversations like this, and why can't we see how far the iceberg goes? (rhetorical) If it gets personal, we should ere on the side of caution.

I'm curious about that question regarding earlier launch.

See post right above mine.

And no, burninmylight doesn't have a point. Nintendo made the decision to delay the launch of Switch (back then still known as NX) to March 2017 in early 2016 already, hence why their shipment forecast for the fiscal year ending March 2017 was set at 2m when said forecast was made in April 2016. The only reason mentioned for the delay was that not enough software would have been ready for a holiday 2016 launch and the first half of 2017 to maintain sales momentum. There was no word on any problems concerning components for production, unlike for the 3DS which missed its planned holiday 2010 launch window solely due to not enough hardware units being ready by that time.

So what this means is that Switch entered mass production at a later date, because the launch date was pushed back for software reasons only and this was known inside Nintendo well in advance. In other words, if Switch had been launched in late 2016, then production would have started earlier and at a higher rate due to a holiday launch. In reality Nintendo could ship 2.74m units by the end of March 2017, but in the hypothetical of a late 2016 launch they would have had produced at least 5.0m by the end of March 2017.

This very same scenario will apply for Switch's successor, IF it is confirmed by Nintendo that holiday 2024 is not feasible due to not enough software being ready. This will be a basic question by investors, IF Switch's successor doesn't launch in 2024, because they sure will want to know why Nintendo is missing the holiday window. I am using ifs here because everything is still rumors at this time.