For reference, here's how much the Switch sold in past calendar years:
2017: 14.86 Million
2018: 17.41 Million (+17% YOY)
2019: 20.21 Million (+16% YOY)
2020: 27.41 Million (+36% YOY)
2021: 23.67 Million (-14% YOY)
2022: 19.01 Million (-20% YOY)
2023: 16.81 Million (-12% YOY)
Here is the YOY percent drop similar Nintendo Consoles experienced the year and a quarter before the successor launched (To compare potential drop off to presumed Switch launch in Q1 2025):
Nintendo DS: -34% YOY
Wii: -34% YOY
Gamecube: -43% YOY
Wii U: -71% YOY
3DS: -2% YOY
My current expectation in 10M, which should put the Switch at around 149M units by the end of 2024.







