The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[Norion]

Shtinamin_ said:

Norion said:

I didn't say it would negatively impact the Switch 2 to any notable degree, just that Nintendo would be missing the optimal release window for it. The ideal scenario would be them being able to achieve a strong launch year library with a late 2024 release date but unfortunately it seems they might not be able to.

Most consoles when launching near the holidays sell around 3-4 M.

The Switch in the first month shipped 2.74M and shipped around 5.96M for the holiday, so it seems like it found a better release window. At least that's what I think.

The keyword there is most, Nintendo is doing so extremely well right now that the Switch 2 should have a really big launch assuming they don't screw it up. Also you're not taking into account that if the Switch launched in late 2016 by the time the end of 2017 came around it would've benefited from two holiday seasons instead of just one. There's a reason the rumour is it getting delayed to early 2025 instead of that being the original target.