The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[Norion]

CheddarPlease said:

Norion said:

If it is delayed to early 2025 then overtaking the PS2 would become likely. A 3-4 month delay to presumably get software ready wouldn't be that big a deal but would still be a blunder from Nintendo cause holiday 2024 is the perfect time to make that quarter be big instead of weak so ideally launch software would be ready by then. Also from a personal perspective I want to see the new hardware as soon as possible by this point but at least it's only at most a year away.

I would agree with Rol here that really the #1 factor for the Switch 2's success is not whether its hardware is underpowered, or if it misses an "optimal" holiday launch window, or even if the switch has "weak" momentum in its last year, but rather entirely on whether it 

1) Has a strong launch year library of consistent and well-received first-party releases

2) Is properly priced and marketed as a successor to the Switch 

Those are the only big factors that matter, and any analysis suggesting otherwise is misguided

I didn't say it would negatively impact the Switch 2 to any notable degree, just that Nintendo would be missing the optimal release window for it. The ideal scenario would be them being able to achieve a strong launch year library with a late 2024 release date but unfortunately it seems they might not be able to.