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curl-6 on 17 February 2024
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Mar1217 said:
curl-6 said:

Yeah I was only comparing launch aligned sales, it's true that PS5 has an advantage at this point due to the extra holiday. I still think PS5 should sell more than PS4 due to weaker competition from Xbox, but it does seem unlikely it can catch the Switch at this point.

To be frank with the recent commentary done and what was announced to be a lack of "legacy 1st party releases". It does feel like the PS5 is about to undergo a sale trajectory that will lend more so closer or maybe even a bit under the PS4 for the foreseeable future. 

Personally, the fumble early on this gen due to the scarcity of the consoles and the pent up demand following that and increasing early gen FOMO is leading the PS5 to have a skewed vision of it's overall sales during it's earlier lifespan than it should've had normally. 

I actually hardly see a scenario where it outright blows past the PS4 anymore. 

But I digress because this is a thread about Switch sales so yeah. Despite the current sales trajectory, Shadow showed us how great it's sales are considering it's age in relation to other consoles pasts.

Beating the DS lifetime seems almost like a give now.

Beating the DS does look likely at this stage. 

Going forwards, a lot will depend on whether Nintendo actually plan to give the Switch a decent push this year, or whether they'll just let it wither and die with nothing but C-tier releases and the same old price point. Then there's the question of how they will handle it post-replacement; will it be phased out relatively quickly a la PS4, or will they keep it around for a while as a budget option like the 3DS?

PS2 I think is out of reach; another 21 million is a bridge too far this late in the game. Still, reaching #2 of all time is no small feat.