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curl-6 on 16 February 2024
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RolStoppable said:
curl-6 said:

So launched aligned, Switch is tracking 25.6m ahead of PS4, holy moly.

PS5 is keeping pace with Switch's trajectory so far, but that could be about to end as it aligns with Switch's peak, and considering reports that production is being reduced and Sony reducing their FY forecast.

The PS5 is not keeping pace. It's just looking close right now because the PS5 has had one more holiday quarter than Switch. Due to the offset launch dates, you get the best comparisons after quarter 4, 8, 12, 16 etc.

During the most recent intervall (quarter 9-12) the PS5 managed to gain a little bit on Switch, but only because the pentup demand for the PS5 had to be fulfilled. Otherwise the PS5 is tracking very similar to the PS4, and the PS4's deficit kept growing during each four-quarter-intervall, hence why through 28 quarters the PS4 is already behind by 25.6m.

Yeah I was only comparing launch aligned sales, it's true that PS5 has an advantage at this point due to the extra holiday. I still think PS5 should sell more than PS4 due to weaker competition from Xbox, but it does seem unlikely it can catch the Switch at this point.