Nintendo Quarterly Sales Update: Switch at 139.36m shipped

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RolStoppable said:

Hardware in line with my expectations, SMB Wonder significantly below my expectations despite being the fastest-selling Super Mario game anyway, Super Mario RPG significantly better than what I had expected.

I am not sure when I'll get around to updating my spreadsheet (still have to do the update for Q2 first, so I am way behind). But that aside, Switch remains on track to become the best-selling console of all time. A 30% decline in calendar year 2024 would still result in a figure above 10m, so despite inevitably approaching the end of its era as Nintendo's main console, there's enough gas left in the tank.

Wouldn't the decline be a lot steeper than 30% given Switch is likely to be replaced this year? Once a successor is announced and then released sales should fall off dramatically, and companies these days tend to phase out old hardware quite quickly.