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Zippy6 said:

https://www.videogameschronicle.com/news/8-of-developers-in-a-gdc-survey-say-theyre-working-on-nintendos-next-console/

Out of 3,000 developers surveyed 8% said they were currently working on a title for Nintendo's next console.

Switch 2 could take until Holiday 2025 and there would still be games in development right now. 2022 is the latest I could see the first Switch 2 games starting development. 

That's still a cool breakdown, though. There are a lot of devs still making games for PS4 and Xbox One (the past hardware instead of the future we're looking at) and I like that as well. But interestingly enough Switch is tied with Xbox One and PS4 is below both a little. 

I would not be surprised if a ton of these devs make big games (the article mentions big game developers all the way down to smaller indies) since Xbox Series and PS5 are way above older systems. Of course, PC is king here due to being an open platform. 

I have a very good feeling third-party support will still be robust on Switch for a while, even if the more ambitious ports come to a screeching halt. We'll have to see what Nintendo does. Sony and Microsoft have shown how big they are into cross-gen first-party games, but Nintendo has plenty of reason not to (their pedigree of first-party games). On the other hand, SNES had some cross-gen games like Yoshi's Cookie and Wario's Woods. However cross-gen wasn't really the same back then. Graphics and such looked way different to the eye between the versions. And of course, we have the famous Zelda examples of Twlight Princess and Breath of the Wild.

Metroid Prime 4 really should be cross-gen. There's almost no way when development restarted (confirmed January 2019) for Prime 4 that they were using a Switch 2 dev kit. If they make it a Switch 2 exclusive, it would be a case of shifting platforms during development and neglecting the originally announced platform. 



Lifetime Sales Predictions 

Switch: 156 million (was 73, then 96, then 113 million, then 125 million, then 144 million, then 151 million)

PS5: 115 million (was 105 million) Xbox Series S/X: 48 million (was 60 million, then 67 million, then 57 million)

PS4: 120 mil (was 100 then 130 million, then 122 million) Xbox One: 51 mil (was 50 then 55 mil)

3DS: 75.5 mil (was 73, then 77 million)

"Let go your earthly tether, enter the void, empty and become wind." - Guru Laghima