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siebensus4 on 04 January 2024
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Mar1217 said:

Exactly or around the same Switch timeline wise. We get the announcement around September/October.
Even though, we will learn of a new upcoming project following their Q&A session of their fiscal year in May. They will simply not commit to name anything for a while yet.

Then we get, the March, April or May 2025 release window for the Super Switch

No way that we'll see another holiday season without new hardware. We don't have any numbers for December '23 yet, but November was 40 % down year-on-year. Switch should sell below 10 million units in 2024 (which is lower than the first full year 2018) and unlike during the Wii U / 3DS era Nintendo has no other device to sell.

Nintendo announced Switch in October 2016, because they knew that Wii U wouldn't sell that many units anyway. An announcement in January and release in early March wouldn't have been enough time and they would have angered customers as well who would have bought a Wii U in December. Nintendo needed to release Switch in March to improve their fiscal year results.

As for Switch's successor, I expect that Nintendo mentions new hardware in May during their fiscal year report, a full presentation with name and launch titles in June and a release in November 2024.