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Soundwave on 16 December 2023
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archbrix said:

Odyssey has proven that 3D Mario sales are nothing to sneeze at when it's such a quality title. It's no Mario Kart, but not even a new Pokemon game's sales can touch Kart today. A brand new 3D Mario game that is demonstrative of the new system's capabilities would be a great launch title, and it surely wouldn't be Nintendo's only game for the fall.

Honestly, I'm not sure Switch 2 necessarily needs Mario Kart on launch day. I can only imagine the level of shortages we'll see for Switch 2's first holiday. Having your alpha title come out when the system is at its most difficult to find could prove to be less effective than launching it several months later when the install base has grown a bit, the system is more readily obtainable and the anticipation has grown even more.

Nintendo should be careful, the economy is a problem these days, people are not buying luxury goods as much it seems like, at least it seems like game consoles are bearing the brunt of some of that. It doesn't look to me like Sony is going to hit their forecast of 25 million PS5s unless they overship and stuff their retail channels and that's with a new PS5 Slim model this fall and exclusive Spider-Man 2, XBox sales have collapsed, Switch sales are declining. It looks like things like iPhone sales have declined year over year too. That inflation + sky high interest rates are making people ask if they really need a new iPhone, game console, etc. etc. this year I think. 

Better safe than sorry. 

A Mario Kart game shouldn't need 4-5 years of development and there's no excuse for Nintendo to not have been developing it for about 3 years now. What possibly project would be something that should be a bigger priority than Mario Kart? 

Especially if the system is $400, you better err on the side of caution and have as good of a launch as you can. I would want both Mario Kart + 3D Mario in the first 4-5 months if I'm Furukawa. Don't fuck around and screw this up by being loosey goosey, that's the attitude that got Nintendo into a world of trouble with the 3DS and Wii U launches. 

There should be an intense fire in Nintendo's belly to prove they can follow up a successful system because they failed miserably with the Wii U and 3DS launch years. They have a lot to prove, don't be stupid and assume anything is in the bag for you, take nothing for granted. It's going to be difficult to repeat the success of the Switch. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 16 December 2023