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super_etecoon on 13 December 2023
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Shtinamin_ said:
super_etecoon said:

If you think that Metroid Prime 4 will not have that marketing muscle behind it, you've got another thing coming.  Dread's marketing push will look like a soft sell compared to what we will see for MP4.  The world is not ready for the onslaught of Metroid goodness once Nintendo is ready to push.  These are all just predictions and for all we know MP4 ends up being vaporware, but assuming the game goes gold and Nintendo is proud of what Retro has cooked, the media blitz for this game will stun us.  Nintendo doesn't have a lot of striking, mature looking IPs that could be advertised alongside the next Marvel blockbuster, but Metroid is definitely one of those IPs.  I expect theatre ads, YouTube ads, TV spots, not to mention the sheer number of YouTube channels that basically have been starving to hype up this game.  Switch effect will be on full display.

How much marketing was put into Super Mario Bros. Wonder?
How much went into Legend of Zelda: Tears of the Kingdom?
How much went into The Super Mario Bros. Movie?

Metroid Prime 4 will not be given that same amount of love as these titles did.
I make the assumption that Metroid Prime 4 will be given the same amount of love in Marketing as Pikmin 4, Fire Emblem, and Kirby and the Forgotten Land.
Nintendo has been pushing so hard to make Fire Emblem a well-known and well-received franchise, like Splatoon.

I agree that Metroid Prime 4 will make a great candidate for a more mature looking genre on the Switch, but Nintendo's audience isn't maturity, it is fun, innovation, and kids. It will have the same maturity as Metroid Dread, if not a bit more.

Woah, woah, woah.  I'm not talking about 20-30 million units, man.  I'm talking about 4 million...on a console with over 130 million users.  And using the Wii and MP3 as a comparison is a false analysis as the Wii audience and userbase is absolutely not the Switch audience and userbase.  

I'm not sure if this conversation is annoying anyone else as I know this topic is about the Switch hitting 160 million units, so if we leave it here or here abouts, I'm fine with that.  I know you like exact figures for your predictions, so what say you?  What will Metroid Prime 4's lifetime sales be on Switch 1 and/or Switch 2 if it appears on both?