Wow the recent U.S sales numbers for November for the Switch look rough. Estimates have Switch sales dropping 40% compared to last year in NA, and we saw a 40% drop in Japan as well for November, and this was with the value added bundles being permanent this Holiday season and big games like Mario Wonder . Did not expect a drop that significant. Looks like the Switch is reaching saturation quicker then we expected. It was looking like at first that Switch would easily outsell Nintendo's 15M forecast, but now it's looking like it might fall short of it.
Really the best thing Nintendo could do at this point is do actual price cuts on the system, but Nintendo confirmed that it wouldn't happen this fiscal year ending March 2024, so the earliest it could happen in April 2024. I still have my doubts Nintendo would want to do price cuts with the system though cause they would want to force people to just get a Switch 2.
If declines continue this badly, it's goona be difficult to outsell the PS2. Seems like the Switch's natural saturation point would be sales between 145-150M, any sales more would require Nintendo to force it to sell more than it's natural appeal with price cuts, over-extending its life, and new models.
