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Norion on 27 November 2023
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zorg1000 said:
Norion said:

A tiny portion of Switch owners preferring to stick with a Steam Deck or other PC handhelds going forward instead of getting a Switch 2 is factually going to happen so I don't get the point of your reply. The Vita obviously caused the 3DS to sell less than it otherwise would've so PC handhelds increasing in popularity will cause some people to stick to that instead of Nintendo going forward since the Switch had no real competition in the handheld space for the vast majority of its life but now there's more options.

My point is that it’s going to be such a minuscule amount that it will have essentially no bearing on whether or not Switch 2 outsells Switch.

Like all Nintendo hardware, Switch sold on the strength of Nintendo IP, take those away and Switch becomes a niche device so the people who bought a Switch to play Zelda or Animal Crossing or Pokemon or Mario aren’t going to skip on Switch 2 because of handheld PCs that have none of those games, cost significantly more, are way bigger and have no exclusives in general.

I wouldn’t be surprised if Steam Deck, Rog Ally & Lenovo Go sell less than 10 million combined lifetime then factor in the number of them who also end up buying Switch 2, the people who were never planning on getting Switch 2 regardless of these devices and you are left with potentially a few million who skip Switch 2 for one of these devices.

Unless Switch 2 sales end within a few million of Switch 1, for example 152 million vs 149 million, than these portable PCs are not going to be a factor in deciding if Switch 2 outsells Switch 1.

I said at least a few million in my first comment though so not much different than what you're saying. My point was that outselling the Switch will be so hard that PC handhelds taking only 5-10 million sales away could be enough by itself to prevent it from happening. When you're getting to peak console sales a portion that size can make a big difference in the final rankings so I do think it making the Switch 2 stop in the 140's instead of the 150's is a possibility.