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Easy guess is no. The Switch was phenomenon which benefitted both from the pandemic and a lot of very casual gamers. In the west I can see between 15% of Switchers owners not coming back to purchase any follow up console for the next decade. Anecdotal I know a lot of people who got a system out of curiosity/trend but barely touch it. Although newer markets could offset these once a decade console purchasers

I can see Switch 2 hitting 100/120m