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javi741 on 24 November 2023
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Shtinamin_ said:
javi741 said:

March 2025 is far too early for Nintendo to realistically discontinue the Switch. Nintendo is going to want to keep the Switch 1 as a safety net to lean on in case the Switch 2 fails, just like how the 3DS was a safety net for Nintendo just in case the Switch 1 failed. Even when the Switch launch the 3DS didn't discontinue until 3.5 years later because Nintendo just wanted to be safe with the 3DS's success in case the Switch 1 failed.

Nintendo will likely do something similar, I'm expecting the Switch 1 to be in production until 2027 as a "safety net" console. Plus the Switch 2 likely won't have a Switch Lite model its first few years and potentially an Oled Model either if the rumor is true that Switch 2 will go back to LCD, so Nintendo would want to offer at least some sort of Lite/Oled model for consumers with the OG Switch Lite/Oled to diversify options for the consumer since the Switch 2 may not offer it. Plus Nintendo may want to offer cheaper alternatives for consumers as well if they can't afford the Switch 2.

So the earliest I could see the Switch being discontinued is early 2026, but I'm thinking it won't be til 2027 when all production stops.

That makes a lot of sense having the Switch still be produced into the next 2-3 years of the NG.
I just think that it seems weird to be stopping software support on the Switch so early after the launch of the NG (rumors say in September or November, so 5-7 months). Is that cause they want us to be buying the NG and thats the incentive?

IIf the Switch continues to sell into 2027 then President Furuwaka's quote regarding the Switch lifecycle being at the mid-point in 2022 will make a lot of sense. Cause at the time of the quote the Switch was 5 years old, meaning that Switch will be selling for a decade.

Furukawa didn't specifically say that there will be no more 1st party Switch games after FY 2025, he just stated that you should expect Switch games at least until FY 2025, but that statement doesn't rule out the possibility of new games being made past FY 2025. Furukawa probably stated it like that as a sure promise he knows Nintendo could keep, because beyond FY 2025 it's still too far out to detail specific plans. Likely howevever Switch games should still be made beyond FY 2025 as I can't see Nintendo dropping software support for Switch 1 only 5 Months after the Switch 2 releases and completely disregard an install base of likely 150M if they want to keep the Switch 1 around as a safety net.