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Soundwave on 15 November 2023
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javi741 said:

Tbh if the successor really is releasing in 2024, I would feel like Nintendo really hasn't done nearly enough to push Switch sales as much as they could. After how 2023 is going for the Switch I'm almost inclined to say that releasing the Switch 2 in 2024 would feel to early.

This recent fiscal year half is showing profit up 27%, and net sales for Nintendo are the HIGHEST since the Switch first launched, even beating out the monster year of 2020, I feel like the Switch's momentum is still so high to risk potentially hampering it with a successor next year.

No other console in its 7th year, or even any year in general been this profitable. With a forecast ordinary profit of 3.96 Billion, this fiscal year would make it the 3rd Most Profitable Console Year IN HISTORY, Playstation & Xbox never in their nearly 30 years in the business even at their peak ever reached profits that the Switch is attaining in its 7th year.

Nintendo could also do so much more with the current Switch to push sales, the 3DS released 6 different models during its lifetime which was big in pushing it to 75M sold. The Switch so far only had 3 and it would be mind-boggling if Nintendo only left it at that considering how many different models succesful handhelds, and even consoles got. They could release a digital-only Switch for 50-100$ less and make up the profit through the high profit-margins associated with digital purchases, a TV-only Switch model, a Switch Lite Oled, ect.... There's so much left to do to push the Switch right now.

The Switch done all this without any price cuts yet, a 2024 release of the successor would be too early and a major sabotage at this point, why fix something that not only isn't broken, but a product that is thriving more than you could ever imagine. I don't think the Switch should be on its way out that early.

Sure, all Nintendo needs to do is release a Mario 2 movie next year that makes 1.3 billion box office, a new 3D Zelda, and another Mario platformer. 

Lets be real, these factors are causing a late gen burst. Next year when like Princess Peach is being asked to carry the system and there's no movie boost, reality will probably creep in hard and decline will set in rapidly. The fact is the system is probably declining in North America and Europe even with three huge factors (TOTK, Mario movie, Mario Wonder) propping the system up. 

Nintendo is damned if they do, damned if they don't. If they give Switch great games like TOTK and Mario Wonder late in the product cycle then you'll say "well they're betraying the Switch by ending it soon!", if they kept TOTK and Mario Wonder off the system in favor of the next system, then it's "well they're betraying the Switch by not supporting it enough in the late product cycle!".

After Mario Wonder and Mario RPG Remake no one can seriously claim Nintendo didn't give the Switch 1 just about everything they realistically could. All systems come to an end. 

Fun reminder: The NES was still peaking in a lot of ways in the US and Europe around 1990/1991 thanks in part to Mario 3, it shipped over 7.5 million in the US in the fiscal year ending March 1991 which was the second highest shipment of the NES cycle in the West and was up 2 million units from the year before. That 7.5 million would remain the highest Nintendo console shipment for like 17 years in North America. They still went ahead and launched the Super NES like 5 months later. 

This is not the only time a Nintendo system has seen surging business in the late product cycle. Even the N64 for the fiscal year ending March 2000 put up its 2nd best year in North America. Interestingly the Super NES really didn't have a great late generation in the US in terms of sales, guess Sega really bit into their business hard or something. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 15 November 2023