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I initially was thinking a 2025 release before all these leaks and rumors came out.
However, based on all the leaks and rumors every single one points towards a 2024 release and I haven't seen one rumor that is pointing towards a 2025 release, while yes they are still rumors so we need to take it with a grain of salt, but in my years following the games industry I tend to notice that when multiple rumors persist on the same idea, its probably true. So now I'm thinking we're going to see this release Holiday 2024.

Also, Nintendo's 2024 game lineup for Switch also just screams we're at the end of the Switch generation, the only real original game that's confirmed for 2024 is Princess Peach Showtime, which imo is far from an A-tier title created by Nintendo's A-tier team. The rest of the Switch's lineup is just remakes and remaster that I imagine don't take much time and resources to create and take a heavy amount of development away from Switch 2.

Of course, there still could be that possibility that another unannounced A-tier Switch game may release in 2024, but considering the fact that Nintendo put a remake of a 20 year old game as their "one last thing" announcement gives me heavy vibes that they have no other A-tier Switch titles to show and it's difficult to imagine Nintendo waiting til 2025 to release the Switch 2 if 2024 has not much more than remasters/remakes.

It makes sense tho why the Switch gen would end around this time, every major franchise has recieved proper representation on Switch, with some franchises having two games within the same gen. Trying to create more A-tier titles for the Switch this late in 2023 would easily push the successor back 2-3 years from releasing since A-tier development cycles takes around 2-4 years. If we were to see lets say a 3D Mario for Switch 1 only in Holiday 2024, we wouldn't see the next one until maybe 2028 which would leave the Switch 2 without games for years if Nintendo was still focusing on Switch 1 this late, and with Switch sales begining to drop Nintendo doesn't want to wait that long and lose momentum by the time they release Switch 2. So contrary to what I said months ago on this thread, Switch 2 releasing in 2024 seems like a good time and I think it will happen.