| Slownenberg said: (...) UPDATE: Just watched the Direct. Game looks pretty awesome. Chock full of new ideas. I'm excited for it. I'm gonna say I can see this thing hitting 30m, but I hope to see TotK try to match BotW sales and end up around 35m. Definitely can see both TotK and Wonder passing 30m, just think TotK will still be selling like 4 years from now while Wonder won't be. For most of next gen (assuming backwards compatibility) TotK is still gonna be the Zelda game to play, while from day 1 on next gen presumably the next 3D Mario is gonna be the Mario game to play instead of Wonder. |
Super Mario Odyssey (all-new 3D Mario game) vs. New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe (2D Mario port) head to head in fiscal years ending March...
2020: 2.97m vs. 3.29m
2021: 3.42m vs. 3.84m
2022: 2.67m vs. 2.86m
2023: 2.26m vs. 2.11m
Your assumption is certainly not based on sales data. When new game vs. old game already favors 2D Mario, then new game vs. new game will favor 2D Mario even more.
Legend11 correctly predicted that GTA IV will outsell Super Smash Bros. Brawl. I was wrong.
