The Road to 160m+ for Nintendo Switch

[PAOerfulone]

If there is one thing that we should know or have come to expect about the Switch's sales, it's that it's trajectory thus far has been unlike any other Nintendo system that has come before it. No other system in the company's history has maintained THIS level of sales almost halfway into Year 7 - Outside of the Game Boy, which was 100% because of this thing called Pokemon which was a Worldwide Phenomenon and the most popular thing on the planet at the time. Plus, we don't know for sure how much of that was the OG Game Boy and how much was the Game Boy Color since Nintendo combines their sales for whatever reason despite the Color being treated by and large as a successor rather than a premium model.

What the Switch is doing right now is almost entirely on its own merit. Yes, Tears of the Kingdom has something to do with it, and pretty soon, Mario Wonder, but by and large, it's the Switch itself. Something no other Nintendo system before it was able to do at this point in their life cycles.

And its post-successor launch legs will be no different. Just based off what we know now, the Switch's 2024 and beyond lineup so far is a remaster of Luigi's Mansion 2, a new game starring Princess Peach, and Metroid Prime 4. That already looks just as, if not more promising, than what the Wii, Wii U, DS, and 3DS had the year their successors launched. Outside of Metroid: Samus Returns and Dragon Quest XI in Japan, the 3DS got a whole lot of nothing. The Wii and Wii U got jack shit. The only big thing I could think of is the DS getting Black/White just a few weeks before the 3DS came out overseas. After that, it got Black/White 2 a year and half later and not a damn thing besides that. We already know Dragon Quest XII is in development and has been for some time. Whenever we finally get news about that game, I'd be absolutely shocked if it DIDN'T come out on Switch alongside PS5/PS4 like DQXI did on the 3DS alongside the PS4. In fact, that game will probably be the Switch's swan song in Japan. And if history has taught as anything about Game Freak and the Pokemon Co., they'll have one last thing planned for the Switch before formally moving on to Switch 2 for Gen 10. Whether it's another DLC expansion, another remake (Gen 5 remakes/remasters or Let's Go Johto), or a spinoff, I don't think we've seen the last of Pokemon on the Switch.

Bottom line: The Switch's post successor launch lineup games should look MUCH better than the ones of Nintendo's past systems, thanks in large part to the fact that the Switch is getting ALL the software support that before would be divided between 2-3 systems at a time.
And because of that simple fact, the Switch's post successor launch legs should be better by default before you even factor in price - Unless Switch 2 launches at $300-350, which would be INCREDIBLE for the system and really set the table for a fantastic launch! But I expect it to be closer to $400-450 than $300-350.