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Of the five times that a platform has hit 25 million in a FY none of them had a Q1 below 5 million and they were all considerably cheaper than PS5 especially the DS. I think if Sony really wants 25 million this FY then it is possible but they will need to eat a lot of cost and forget about those profit margins. They need to get that standard PS5 down to $399.99 permanently.

Fiscal Years of 25 million

31.18M - NDS 08/09: 6.94M - 6.79M - 11.89M - 5.56M
30.31M - NDS 07/08: 6.98M - 6.37M - 11.15M - 5.81M
28.82M - NSW 20/21: 5.67M - 6.86M - 11.57M - 4.72M
27.11M - NDS 09/10: 5.97M - 5.73M - 11.65M - 3.76M
25.95M - Wii 08/09: 5.17M - 4.93M - 10.41M - 5.44M

Price

NDS - $129.99 in 2008 adjusted for inflation is $184 in 2023
Wii - $249.99 in 2008 adjusted for inflation is $354 in 2023
NSW - $299.99 standard and $199.99 Lite in 2020 adjusted for inflation is $353 and $236 in 2023.

PS5 - $499.99 standard and $399.99 digital edition