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Soundwave said:

If dev kits are available, and especially available outside Japan, then a new system is coming next year. There's no way Nintendo is giving out dev kits especially to non-Japanese dev houses for a system that is 2+ years out. 

Nintendo may treat the Switch like the 3DS, but they may also treat it like the DS, they killed the DS off quickly because they wanted those people to buy a 3DS instead. 

Understand to Nintendo if someone buys a Switch 2 instead of a Switch that's a WIN in Nintendo's book. You need to stop characterizing that as some of loss of something somehow. A Switch 2 *is* a Switch 1, but also a Switch 2. It ensures that Nintendo has that customer locked into their software ecosystem and will be able to buy all their software releases for the coming 6-7 years and not just older titles, and it ensures the Switch 2 builds a userbase that much faster. Both of these are beneficial to Nintendo, they don't hurt Nintendo at all. 

The reason Nintendo killed off the DS so quickly was because the 3DS got off to a really bad start and they had to change plans on the fly and go all in on it to get it up and running. Its launch lineup was poor and the 3D gimmick was a flop - nobody cared about it. There's a reason why they had to slash its price from $250 to $170 in just 5 months.

The same thing will not, or rather, SHOULD NOT, happen to Switch 2.

To the best of my knowledge and unless I'm mistaken, that was the only point in Nintendo's history where they had to sell hardware at a loss. Because they had no choice but to take the L for a while in order to get the 3DS off the ground and running - And it came at the cost of the DS' final years/last legs because it's successor was now at the same price range as the DSi models, which effectively killed their legs. If things had gone Nintendo's way, the 3DS would have been successful from the jump, they would've kept its price at $250 and the DS would have gone on selling at a lower, but steadier rate and had a more gradual decline - Which is EXACTLY what they want for the Switch -> Switch 2 transition.