One thing I think going for Nintendo this time around is that for the first time since the NES-Super Nintendo I think Nintendo isn’t on their heels. They aren’t having to learn how to make games in HD or 3D or with motion controls in mind for the first time. They’re not needing to figure out how to incorporate a gamepad or other gimmick. The transition should be smooth, the software pipeline should be robust and Nintendo will be able to ride on the high install base of the Switch while at the same time capturing early adopters for the best experience.
All of this is assuming, which I am, that Nintendo doesn’t try to upend the apple cart with Switch 2. Just refinements of the form factor, faster speeds, higher resolution, better storage, and an enhanced UI should be enough to ensure a great successor.
Switch Holiday 2024 accomplishes a lot. It allows the next console to release while Nintendo is still performing well. It allows the Switch to die a slow, but still respectful death, and it meets the pent up demand of consumers ready to move on. 2025 (particularly late 2025) just seems to much of a stretch for loyalists to have to wait.
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