If the software is ready for fall 2024, then Nintendo will launch then.
That's basically all it boils down to, the way people here try to characterize it like Nintendo is watching weekly Famitsu sales and going "Switch 2 launches 2024 ... no 2025! No 2024 now! No 2025!" based on sales going up/down is frankly dumb.
The software pipeline is what matters, Switch launched in March 2017 because of the software pipeline, had nothing to do with the hardware.
That said a lot of Nintendo's top end teams have been deathly quiet for a long time. The Mario Odyssey team? Even the B-team at EAD Tokyo? The Mario Kart team? Can't all be doing just graphical paint remasters of old tracks.
I think Nintendo has a 3D Mario and Mario Kart Next in very advanced stages of development for the Switch 2 right now, and these games have been in development probably for years even now.
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