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Wyrdness said:
Soundwave said:

...

I am looking at it from Nintendo's POV especially as what I'm pointing out is how Nintendo operated when they were in that situation before for one Sony had to pull the plug on PS4 because they have actual competition otherwise the PS4 would have continued for longer as is clear from how it was still receiving games as recently as holiday last year from Sony, Sony have to contend with MS so whether they like it or not they have to react and make a move as they're on a far more strict timer than Nintendo the two situations aren't comparable as the latter have an entire market to themselves. You've not at all counter my point on that and the reason for it is straight forward in that the is no actual counter right now to it as is highlighted ironically by you bringing up the PS4 that falls into my other point PS4 is a traditional home console and as a result is in a competitive ecosystem something Switch isn't highlighting that you're still trying to apply traditional home console situations to the latter.

The fundamental misunderstanding is therefore on your part as what applies to the PS4 doesn't really apply to the Switch as its market dynamics are far different, Nintendo have done the same with the Switch as the have with prior portables only difference is that Switch has a home console mode which is what's throwing people off in regards to why a successor isn't out by now. Portable markets have often had longer waits and this has never really impacted their transitions because no other viable competitor is in the space, this leverage alone gives Nintendo more time to smooth out the next platform and plans it's not just numbers like you think it's also part of business to take advantage of it.

Explain how a person buying a Switch 2 instead of a Switch OLED next year (if available) is a problem for Nintendo. 

Like what exactly is the problem there that Nintendo would want to avoid? Not only is it not a problem, it's entirely desirable for Nintendo to want this scenario.

The Game Boy product cycle also was never supposed to be that long, I wish people would stop citing that when they clearly don't understand the history of it. Nintendo was done with the Game Boy by 1995 and trying to kill it off for a successor because its sales had fallen off, the only reason that didn't happen is because the company developing the successor (Project: Atlantis) ran into problems with the hardware they were designing and weren't able to meet the battery/size requirements they had promised to Nintendo. 

The GBA they up-ended after 3 years on the market. 

The DS got 7 years before a successor, the 3DS got 6 years. But none of that really even matters, Nintendo operates clearly in a different way, there's never been a Nintendo system where the lead SKU this late in the product cycle is $350. That means they likely have a very good opportunity to simply transition those buyers straight into Switch 2 for $399.99 (as an example) if they want to strike while the iron is hot. The Game Boy and DS/3DS were frankly budget products by the end of their product cycle, the Switch is not. 

The Switch is due for a new product model eventually anyway in 2024, I think the next Switch model will basically just cover both bases. Want a "Switch Pro" ... well Super Switch/Switch 2 (whatever they call it) will be that. Want a Switch successor? Super Switch/Switch 2 will also be that. Nintendo wins either way. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 11 July 2023