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Soundwave on 22 June 2023
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zeldaring said:
Soundwave said:

With ToTK and Mario Wonder ... Nintendo's late gen obligations to the Switch are largely complete. Those two games should carry the Switch for several years going forward.

The next 3D Mario, Zelda, Mario Kart, Animal Crossing, Smash Bros., Splatoon, Xenoblade, mainline Luigi's Mansion really are all probably reserved for Switch 2, you can't even really do a 3D Mario for 2024 for Switch because it would create a huge problem for the Switch 2 where it can't then get a 3D Mario until like when? 2026? 2027 more realistically? With no new Zelda early in the product cycle for Switch 2, that's just putting that system at such a disadvantage that it's not worth even contemplating.

I think they'll maybe do some games cross-gen, like maybe another Pokemon, maybe a Donkey Kong game, a Kirby game, Metroid Prime 4 I could see being cross-gen ... so there's that at least.

But I think from 2024 onwards all major software development is either Switch 2-only or cross-gen. Smaller scale things like a F-Zero GX Remaster, Paper Mario: TTYD Remake maybe are Switch-only, but I think after 2023, the Switch only projects are going to start to thin out.

I think everything will be cross-gen for 2 years. the Switch is software sells are still really strong for switch and install base is huge.   

The main problem with that though is it will hurt the Switch 2 possibly, why buy a Switch 2 if you're just getting the same games on the Switch?

Playstation/XBox owners are more conditioned to just buy new hardware on the basis of better graphics, but that doesn't work as easily for Nintendo it doesn't seem like. 

So I think in terms of things like the next 3D Mario and Mario Kart that are probably already well into development, they sorta have to be Switch 2 only most likely. Otherwise what's the sales pitch for a Switch successor? I can see like

Mario 3D Next, Mario Kart Next, Smash Bros. Next, Animal Crossing Next, Splatoon Next being Switch 2 only

Maybe 1 more Pokemon mainline game, Kirby, Donkey Kong Country platformer, Mario Party, Metroid Prime 4 maybe being cross-gen, as in they have different and better graphical elements on the Switch 2, not just a resolution boost. 

F-Zero GX Remaster, Paper Mario TTYD, Remaster, Peach platformer, Luigi's Mansion 2 Remaster, Zelda: Wind Waker Remaster, Twilight Princess remaster just being regular Switch 1 releases that maybe have a 4K patch introduced when Switch 2 arrive. 

So basically kinda three software categories if you want to put it that way. 

Last edited by Soundwave - on 22 June 2023