Tbh it's still too early to determine based on the game library if there will be a new console coming or not. We've seen A-Tier Nintendo franchises launch only months before the successor or ever alongside the successor. Pokemon Sun & Moon on 3DS launched only 3 months before the Switch, BOTW & Twilight Princess were 2 A-tier franchises launching alongside the successor, and plus a year like this isn't anything very new for the Switch, the 2nd half of 2020 looks worse than the 2nd half this year.
In 2020 you had Mario 3D-All Stars which is cool, but just a collection of ports. Age of Calamity which wasn't a big holiday type seller, same with Pikmin 3 DX.
This year, you have Mario Bros Wonder which is easily bigger than any game in the 2nd half of 2020, and you have a remake of Mario RPG which is a new game that could have as much appeal, if not more than Age of Calamity..
This 2023 holiday season isn't that bad to assume it's over for the Switch.
However, after this 2D Mario idk what else Nintendo could do at this point with the Switch without greatly extending it's lifecycle and limiting the launch potential of thier next console. We know that there's no way Nintendo could release BOTW 3 on Switch anytime soon, Smash Bros 6 tbh just wouldn't make much sense on the same hardware with Ultimate existing. They could do an Animal Crossing sequel and a 3D Mario is overdue, but if they do that this late in the lifecycle for Switch it'll only push back the successor further since they would need more time to make whole new entries to the seires to be ready at launch if they were to make the next A-tier games exclusively for Switch. The only A-tier Nintendo franchise I could see Nintendo milking on Switch is Pokemon
Nintendo could release franchises that haven't got good representation on Switch, such as Mario & Luigi,Kid Icarus,Star Fox,F-Zero, or a bunch of remasters and remakes, but those types of games aren't big enough to keep the Nintendo afloat much more.
It's gonna be interesting to see if there's ever gonna be an A-tier Switch exclusive after this 2D Mario







