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Yeah the post-shortage boom for PS5 shouldn't be taken as the new normal, that was 2 years of pent up demand being released all at once.
What we're seeing now is much closer to the historical performance of the last two PS home consoles in Japan.

kazuyamishima said:

I’m the idea that the Switch is getting sent overseas from Japan considering the low value of the Yen, considering that other markets are going back to pre-Zelda TOTK launch numbers.

But that’s just me, or something else is happening.

I'm a bit skeptical of this; why would it happen now all of a sudden? If people really wanted a cheap Switch, they can get one quite easily without having to import from a foreign country.

I admit, what's happening now is highly irregular and doesn't seem to fit normal sales patterns, but I don't feel like this can explain it.