Norion said:
Your entire post is not taking into account that software sales on the Switch are declining now. Considering their forecast for this fiscal year beyond 2025 makes no sense and 2025 would be a bad business decision or it'd mean Nintendo messed up their software pipeline and really needs extra time to get Switch 2 software ready. They'd really rather not have a bad holiday quarter next year so that's the latest it should release. |
Software sales only dropped 9%, it's so miniscule that it's not even worth mentioning. Nintendo is still more than profitable with the Switch right now with the Switch having their most profitable install base in their history. Nintendo could legitametely just support the current Switch for years on without a successor and still remain profitable just off software sales, releasing a successor will bring more risk than anything right now. Switch will have the greatest and most profitable install base for any console in history, it's far from a guarantee the successor will do the same.
Also, there's very little to worry about Nintendo's software pipeline for the next Switch. I think it's likely that Switch 2 will have some sort of backwards compatibility with the OG Switch so it's likely that the hardware between the two will be similiar enough for OG Switch games in development to make their way over to Switch 2. Two of Nintendo's first and biggest Switch launch window games were BOTW & MK8, both Wii U ports. Nintendo could definetely switch development over to Switch 2, they've done it with many late gen games before.
