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Qwark said:

Switch might have a shot at breaking 4.5 million this year if Pikmin 4 launches this winter and they remaster a classic for the holidays. PS5 just had to equal last year sales to break 2 million this year. With final fantasy 16 launching in a few weeks that's seems possible.

Pikmin 4 launches in July, I'm pretty sure. They haven't announced their second half of the year.