Welp it's now confirmed that the Switch successor won't launch anytime before April 2024. It was pretty surprising the amount of people who thought the Switch successor would launch at the end of 2023 or early 2024. If that were the case we'd see a ton of rumors and leaks at this point and Nintendo would need to begin marketing for the system now if it had that release window which wouldn't be feasible to do just a few months after TOTK releases.
However, what has been surprising me is that Nintendo isn't gonna release a new Switch model/revision. Nintendo has shown in their past that they love milking successful consoles like crazy like the DS,3DS,Gameboy,ect.. and they would release a ton of new models for those consoles even AFTER the successor released like the Gameboy Micro and New 2DS Xl, and many of Nintendo's new models don't really add much new but they still release them. I'm surprised Nintendo isn't doing this with the Switch in the near future especially with sales declining. I think a TV only Switch would be very nice, Switch Oled Lite, or potentially a straight up Switch pro, there's many possibilities for Nintendo to do revisions its surprising Nintendo won't do that in the near future.
Imo, it's also looking like that the Switch's lifetime sales minimum will be 145M rather than 140M. Nintendo is forecasting a 15M FY which would place the Switch at close to 141M units by March 2024. While I do agree that the 15M goal is a bit optimistic, I'm expecting more like a 13-14M FY, that would still put the Switch in between 138-140M by March 2024. And the Switch definitely won't fizzle out super quickly after March 2024, even if the successor releases in Holiday 2024 it could still easily get 6-10M sales at the minimum after March 2024. Which places the Switch's sales minimum at 145M and definitely still has a good shot of outselling the PS2 depending on how Nintendo treats the Switch in its twilight years. So the race for the greatest selling console of all time will be very close.
Last edited by javi741 - on 09 May 2023
