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Slownenberg said:

140m+ by end of March 2024 sounds good. Next gen definitely ain't coming during this fiscal year (wasn't ever any reason to expect it to), though likely next gen will release sometime in the next 8 months after that (by Nov 2024). So Switch should end up at least well into the 140 millions if not 150m, depending on post-life legs.

It's cool that BotW is probably passing 30 million juuuuust before TotK releases.

Wow really surprised at the weak Metroid Prime numbers. Between releasing digitally first plus all the stories of shortages of physical games I figured it was selling plenty (at least once the shortages ended). I thought it would be at 2 million, not 1 million. Honestly very surprising, I thought this was a lot more popular than it is. Especially considering its a complete graphical overhaul and only $40, that's a rough pill for the Prime series leading into possible remasters of 2 and 3 and the eventual release of 4. And they must have barely shipped any physical games at first considering these sales and it released digitally first and the huge shortages of the physical game when it first came out.

Damn impressive that BotW actually outsold Smash for the fiscal year. And Odyssey closed on Sw/Sh and is basically tied with it now, which I guess isn't surprising seeing as how most people would buy V/S over Sw/Sh now. I guess Odyssey is gonna move into 5th place in sales unless V/S or TotK can pass it eventually.

If Nintendo prez says 15m might be a stretch is sounds like they aren't planning any price drops, which is just bizarre. Just a weird thing to refuse to do a price drop late in the life cycle as sales slow. Especially considering if next gen comes out 12-18 months from now it'll probably be priced same as OLED which would be ridiculous having a model for a 7+ year old system the same as a brand new next-gen system. They should just drop to like 170/250/300 this year to help sales, then maybe drop again to 150/230/280 next year. Then they can keep selling Switch's likely at a small profit, and have the Switch be the cheap system while the Switch 2 is the new next-gen premium system at like $350 or whatever.

Next system is probably gonna start at $399.99 and they probably will sell out at that price anyway. 

Price slashing hardware to get a small bump is just dated console philosophy at this point it seems, neither Sony or Nintendo subscribe to it anymore. 

I did the math on this but the amount of extra hardware a company would have to sell to even justify a $50 price drop is massive.