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javi741 on 04 May 2023
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Soundwave said:
javi741 said:

Software sales are only down 4% this fiscal year compared to last fiscal year, that's so miniscule to the point where it's not even worth bringing up to show that there's declining interest in the brand, the 4% drop could've easily been erased had Nintendo released one more solid game. A 4% drop in software sales shouldn't at all indicate people are losing interest in the brand.

There hasn't been any indication yet that people who purchased the Switch 6 years ago are starting to lose interest or move on from the Switch. If that were the case we'd see more than a 4% decline in software sales at this point.

The idea that people will get tired of the Switch just cause it's outdated is greatly exaggerated, TOTK looking similiar graphically to BOTW isn't stopping people from being massively hyped for the game. Many people actually believe TOTK will outsell BOTW in lifetime sales, it doesn't seem like people are losing interest in the Switch at all if that's the case. Nintendo this past quarter just released their fastest selling game in their history with Pokemon S&V. 

Many gamers are content with owning the same system for 10+ years at times and still paying their yearly sequels to COD games that haven't changed much graphically on the same platform. Yes eventually gamers will want a better graphical experience, but it's not the end of the world if the option isn't there as long as the games are there. We see Microsoft and Sony upgrade their systems to keep up with the competition, Nintendo doesn't have competition right now so they aren't as much of a rush to release their successor as quickly. Declining hardware sales won't hurt the core of their business which is software sales.

Nintendo is not immediately shift their studios straight to Switch 2 permanently, even if if were to be releasing in 2024(But I'm thinking 2025 or later). Nintendo will likely want to keep the Switch around for several more years as a safety net in case the Switch 2 doesn't do as well. So major studios will likely continue to work on the Switch and the Switch 2 for right now,

If Switch 2 doesn't do so well, the aging, old-ass Switch by that point is not going to do shit either, so I would probably submit that Switch 2 is a massive priority for Nintendo right now and for quite some time. If you're Nintendo's president that has to be your no.1 priority behind the scenes right now. 

If Switch 2 is a dud ... it's such a massive blow to Nintendo and will completely and forever throw into doubt their ability to ever follow up a success. 0/3 successfully following up Wii, DS, and Switch ... you might as well just throw your hands up and admit as a management group you cannot handle success. 

But this they should know full well ... they've known this since 2020, 2021 too, it's not breaking news. 

If Nintendo cannot do the Switch 2 right and/or needs like 9 years to get it out and MS doing MS things ... at what point do you just start to say Sony is the only competent management group in this business, because they seem to have very few problems like this, 5 Playstation models 4/5 have launched very well in reasonable amounts of time too. 

Mr. Furukawa better be eating, sleeping, shitting Switch 2 right now, they need a president that is on the ball right now. A lazy attitude of "we'll just fart out Switch 2 when Switch 1 has wound down most of its momentum" I don't think is a great attitude, you gotta be sharp and laser focused when launching hardware in this biz. You get sloppy and soft or laid back or arrogant and it will haunt you, when you really look at failed consoles those attributes seem to be common denominators in failure. 

The decisions made in the Switch 2's development process in 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, the software that for it that's under development in 2021, 2022, 2023 will probably have consequences for Nintendo that extend into the next decade frankly (2030+). If they nail those decisions and time lines they'll be in good, if they start doing dumb things behind the scenes right now, it will very easily go the other way and be a headache for years and years. 

If the Switch 2 doesn't do well it'll be worse then if they just stuck with the Switch. Because if the Switch 2 doesn't do well then the install base won't be there for software to sell as well and recoup all the money they spent on creating the Switch 2 or the games. Meanwhile, if they stuck to the Switch 1 with consistent software releases, the games will sell much better with a higher install base and they won't need to worry about spending money on developing a new system or the risk that comes with it.

You seem to be acting like people are denying that Nintendo is focusing on the Switch 2 right now, but we aren't. Everyone knows that new console development begins as soon as the latest console is released. I'm sure Nintendo's been working on the Switch 2 for quite sometime now and potentially some games for it too. That doesn't mean the Switch 2 is right around the corner at all. Console companies are always working on the next system, but it doesn't mean they have to release it anytime soon if they don't want to.